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Latest Poll Reveals Extremely Close Races


Maryland has two of the closest Congressional races in the country, and a gubernatorial contest that remains within the margin of error, according to the latest statewide poll conducted September 25-27, 2002 by Potomac Incorporated for The (Baltimore) Sun and The Gazette newspapers.


In the 2nd Congressional District, former Rep. Helen Bentley and Baltimore County Executive Dutch Ruppersberger are locked in a tight race and separated by just one percentage point, 44% for Bentley to 43% for Ruppersberger. Results include those who lean toward one of the two candidates.


Democrat Sen. Chris Van Hollen holds a statistically-insignificant 46% to 43% lead over incumbent Republican Connie Morella in the redrawn 8th District.


In the race for the governor’s chair, Lt. Gov. Kathleen Kennedy Townsend leads Rep. Bob Ehrlich by only two points, 47% to 45%.  Though support has solidified for both candidates since July, there has been no change statistically in Townsend’s margin.  Ehrlich enjoys a somewhat more committed following, while Townsend has succeeded in doubling her opponent’s negatives since July and seems to have many philosophical ties to voters who remain undecided.


The statewide sample of 803 interviews has a margin of error of +/- 3.5% at a 95% confidence level.  Potomac conducted 400 oversample interviews in each of the two Congressional districts, producing district samples with a maximum +/- 5.0% margin of error.


For more complete survey results, please visit The Sun and The Gazette.


Poll Results

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